Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#248
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#275
Pace73.5#91
Improvement+3.6#43

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#309
First Shot-5.5#313
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#190
Layup/Dunks-1.0#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#239
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement-0.4#198

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#161
First Shot+2.1#106
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#305
Layups/Dunks-2.1#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#14
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#37
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement+4.0#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 217   Idaho L 54-74 55%     0 - 1 -26.3 -24.0 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2015 153   Montana W 64-61 39%     1 - 1 +0.9 -12.8 +13.5
  Nov 20, 2015 252   @ Montana St. L 69-81 40%     1 - 2 -14.6 -12.6 -1.3
  Nov 25, 2015 128   Toledo L 74-89 24%     1 - 3 -12.5 -5.5 -5.7
  Nov 27, 2015 263   San Diego W 76-67 55%     2 - 3 +2.7 +6.6 -3.6
  Dec 05, 2015 232   @ Santa Clara L 75-78 36%     2 - 4 -4.4 -3.1 -1.2
  Dec 08, 2015 93   @ Marquette L 62-80 10%     2 - 5 -9.2 -8.7 +0.2
  Dec 13, 2015 252   Montana St. L 83-91 63%     2 - 6 -16.4 -8.4 -6.9
  Dec 20, 2015 292   @ Seattle L 64-67 53%     2 - 7 -8.7 -7.2 -1.6
  Dec 30, 2015 133   Utah St. L 71-80 34%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -9.7 -3.1 -6.9
  Jan 02, 2016 237   @ Air Force L 57-64 37%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -8.7 -16.1 +7.5
  Jan 06, 2016 53   @ San Diego St. L 62-77 6%     2 - 10 0 - 3 -2.3 +6.8 -10.6
  Jan 09, 2016 142   Colorado St. L 84-85 OT 37%     2 - 11 0 - 4 -2.5 -1.8 -0.7
  Jan 13, 2016 164   Wyoming W 62-55 43%     3 - 11 1 - 4 +3.8 -14.7 +18.5
  Jan 16, 2016 102   @ Fresno St. L 74-81 12%     3 - 12 1 - 5 +1.0 +5.2 -4.2
  Jan 20, 2016 94   @ Boise St. L 69-94 10%     3 - 13 1 - 6 -16.2 -8.1 -5.0
  Jan 23, 2016 116   New Mexico L 64-83 30%     3 - 14 1 - 7 -18.7 -14.7 -2.7
  Jan 27, 2016 142   @ Colorado St. L 66-74 19%     3 - 15 1 - 8 -3.7 -1.0 -3.7
  Jan 30, 2016 237   Air Force W 75-54 60%     4 - 15 2 - 8 +13.5 +5.9 +9.2
  Feb 03, 2016 102   Fresno St. W 65-53 25%     5 - 15 3 - 8 +14.2 -1.4 +16.4
  Feb 10, 2016 115   @ UNLV L 61-64 15%     5 - 16 3 - 9 +3.3 -10.7 +14.3
  Feb 13, 2016 116   @ New Mexico L 58-74 15%     5 - 17 3 - 10 -9.9 -11.3 +0.9
  Feb 17, 2016 141   Nevada L 55-61 35%     5 - 18 3 - 11 -7.2 -16.4 +9.6
  Feb 21, 2016 53   San Diego St. L 56-78 14%     5 - 19 3 - 12 -15.2 -6.3 -9.7
  Feb 27, 2016 133   @ Utah St. L 70-88 17%     5 - 20 3 - 13 -12.8 -10.7 -0.5
  Mar 02, 2016 164   @ Wyoming L 78-81 23%     5 - 21 3 - 14 -0.4 +3.9 -4.3
  Mar 05, 2016 94   Boise St. W 68-63 22%     6 - 21 4 - 14 +7.9 -8.9 +16.4
  Mar 09, 2016 142   Colorado St. L 61-80 27%     6 - 22 -17.6 -14.8 -2.9
Projected Record 6.0 - 22.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%